Wednesday, April 30, 2014

The truth of the day

Send to your favorite Democrat or RINO legislator and ask them what color and size they want.



Monday, April 28, 2014

Why can't Johnny read or do math — Part 3



If you remember in Part 2 of this saga, one anonymous poster — we’ll call him Business Rep 23 — was not able to figure out how Washington State collected more money after privatization. He couldn’t add the numbers from the Washington State Department of Revenue and Washington State LCB, and he said that the money from the old state stores wasn’t included.  If you look at the WSLCB Annual Reports, none of them list “Store Profit.”  It’s just part of their income after expenses and since they turn over everything else to the State or Local governments, they seem to not feel the need to do reporting the PA way.

Let’s see what the real numbers were in Washington, and how they compared pre and post-privatization. The last annual report before privatization was for FY 2012, which went from June 1, 2011 to May 31, 2012. This would include the big run on liquor that happened before privatization took effect on June 1, 2012 and the auction sales of the old state stores.

Total liquor sales were $900.47 million or about 42% of what PA does (it bears repeating: Washington only privatized liquor sales; they already had private wine sales). Washington State LCB does collect the beer and wine taxes, and some tobacco taxes too, but those obviously weren’t affected by privatization. If you do include all of that, the total is $448.7 million returned to the state. That number is what Business Rep 23 and his cohorts like to use when comparing Washington’s old liquor income to Washington’s new liquor income.  The key number here would be $448.7 million turned into the state for everything, including any profit made in the old state stores.

Now let’s look at the 2013 Annual Report, the first one after privatization.  There is no income from
Gross Liquor Sales any longer, but the License Fees have gone up from $33.91 million to $257.6 million and that the total returned by the WSLCB  to the State is now $318.32 million.  (License Fees are the actual cost of licenses, plus the 17% Retail License fee and the 10% Wholesale License fee that were added as part of the privatization bill.)

AHA! you say, that’s $130 million less than the year before, Business Rep 23 was right!  Er, well, no, he isn’t.  When Washington State was the only source to buy liquor, they collected all the state liquor taxes: the Spirits Sales Tax and the “Spirits Liter Tax.” But now that Washington State has a private system, those tax collections are now part of the Department of Revenue, and not the WSLCB. (Imagine: the Department of Revenue collects the taxes, instead of some dinky enforcement bureau. Makes sense, right?)

To get the total tax numbers, you have to look at the spreadsheet the Department of Revenue so kindly keeps updated here.  Looking at the Summary FY2013 tab and adding the monthly tax collections, you see approximately $228.6 million was collected from consumer sales and $37.3 million was collected from licensees through distributor sales, a total of $265.9 million.

This gives Washington State approximately $318 million from the WSLCB, and $266 million from taxes, for a grand total of $584 million in liquor/booze revenue.  Even Business Rep 23 has to admit that $584 million is more than $448 million. Okay, he doesn’t have to, and I’m sure he will make a bunch of statements trying to tear that fact down without any proof, but…come on. $584 million is at least 23% more than the $448 million that was collected the year before, just like I said in part 2.

So to sum it all up:
The WSLCB Beer and Wine taxes, tobacco seizures, other income, and all liquor revenue including store “profit” collected in FY2012 before privatization resulted in a total of $448.7 million being returned to the state, while in FY 2013, the first year after privatization, it was $584 million.

The moral of the story?  
Don’t believe Business Rep 23 or anybody else unless they have the facts to back up their statements.

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Would Privatization Kill Children?

To go with last year's “Non-union employee-sold booze killed my Daddy” commercial, you may have seen the newest propaganda from the State Store clerks union about how increased availability of beer and wine will lead to the downfall of civilization as we know it. Among other lying lies from the big fat liars at the UFCW media lying office, the ad says that North Carolina put in "a similar law" and it's killing one "child" every week from underage drinking.


The idea that they can trace the death of one underage drinker (who are, BTW, usually 18 and older, hardly the toddlers pictured in the ad) per week directly to this law and ONLY this law...is ludicrous. But here are some even bigger things they don’t tell you about crazy loose boozy North Carolina vs. wonderfully 'controlled' Pennsylvania.
  • North Carolina has a lower rate of high BAC fatalities than Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina has a 39% lower rate of women 18-44 who binge drink than Pennsylvania
  • North Carolina has a 26% lower alcohol use rate for women 18-44 than Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina has a lower Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorder rate than Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina has a better rating from MADD than Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina's DUI fatality rate is the same as Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina's overall binge drinking rate is 17% lower than Pennsylvania’s 
  • North Carolina is also one of the 17 alcohol control states, like Pennsylvania 
  • North Carolina liquor stores are checked for underage sales. Pennsylvania's are not. 
  • North Carolina allows beer and wine sales in grocery stores.  

It would be an improvement if Pennsylvania were more like North Carolina, but it will be even better if we privatized.

Sources:
http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/fasd/data.html
http://responsibility.org/sites/default/files/files/TCC-AIDF_2012.pdf
http://www.madd.org/drunk-driving/state-stats/
http://www.americashealthrankings.org/WI/Binge/2012

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

I guess I'm on the official Enemies list

Look who I found poking around one of my accounts.
















Glad to know they care enough to send the top dog.

An update: 
Ms Diehl has figured out how to poke around anonymously and now that same "Who's viewed your profile" looks like this:



Sunday, April 20, 2014

The PLCB responds to the Smackdown.

The PLCB response to the Smackdown?  I don't know but I can see it...

A meeting in the $40,000 PLCB drinking lounge they have set up in Harrisburg. The big screens are showing the Travel Channel, and soft music is playing. The question: what to do about the cheeky ad Total Wine ran directly comparing prices with the State Fine Store Wine and State Good Store Spirits Shoppes; and not too good a comparison for the drones in old Harrisburg. Ideas are not developing, but then someone gets a rush of blood to the brain.

"Hey, let's allow this rum to be put on special. We'll make up some cool tags and let everybody know we can put bottom shelf liquor on special too." No one has any better ideas, so the mighty marketing muscle of the PLCB lurches into action.

The next week, the sale is on, but the one brainy manager in the system (who runs the store in Snow Shoe, open three days a week for customer convenience) spots something amiss. "There is something that doesn't look right with these tags. It did pass the Art Department, The Printers, the Marketing Department, The Store Operations Director, and then was approved by the Board though, so I guess it is OK.

"But I thought that a liter was a third more than a 750ml. I guess I was taught wrong in school if all those smart people agree it's actually 25% more. Wait, isn't 'then' used to indicate time of some kind, and it's 'than' that's used for comparative purposes? Naw, they couldn't have two mistakes on one tag; nobody is that incompetent, not even in Harrisburg! Well, nobody will notice anyway. If our guys didn't catch it, then (or is it than?) the public won't either. What do they know about math and grammar compared to the folks in charge of the PLCB!"

Yup. It's a classic. Pure PLCB.


No wonder the PLCB doesn't like selling liters anywhere other than at their so-called "outlet" stores. The math makes their brains hurt!

(P.S. Total Wine sells the 1.75L at a lower cost per oz  even with the PLCB "sale")

Friday, April 18, 2014

PLCB SMACKDOWN

It must be their incredible buying power because the difference in taxes doesn't account for the difference in price. Maybe the PLCB can rename a store in response.

More fun with PLCB numbers

Remember that the PLCB say that they only have a 30% markup and that no private business could survive paying a wholesaler and selling a product at a profit for that amount. Prices will go up, they say, because there's no way they can sell you booze as cheap as the PLCB! They actually say that.

Well...like a number of things they say, it's true only on the surface. If you look at the agency's Income Statement for June 2012 to June 2013 you will see that Sales net of taxes is $1,731,463,014, while cost of goods sold is $1,192,047,304...which indicates a profit margin of 45.2%. All sorts of businesses can operate on a 45% margin. So how does the PLCB get from 30% to over 45%?  They have bottle fees, bailment fees, "rounding," and probably some miscellaneous stuff we don't know about. Do the bottle fees and rounding account for an additional 15 percent of PLCB  markup?

According to the PLCB itself, it does. This quote is from PLCB Consumer Relations in an email they sent me. "According to our Bureau of Financial Operations, apart from some other minor influences, the bottle fee and rounding do account for the approximate percentage you note of gross revenue on a yearly basis."

Let's look at the last board meeting from April 2 to get an idea about how quickly the price can jump once the PLCB gets hold of a bottle. We'll start with these:

Item..............................................Unit cost...Sale Price..Markup
Shoofly Chardonnay                      $6.05       $10.99      81.6%
Woop Woop Chardonnay               $6.10       $10.99      80.1%
Sassello Morellino di Scanzano      $6.12       $11.99      95.9%
Camara Alta Tempranillo Navarra    $6.33       $11.49      81.5%
Domaine du Chapitre Touraine Blanc $6.47       $11.99      85.3%
Wine By Joe Pinot Gris                    $6.55       $11.99      83%
Chateau Ste. Michelle Dry Riesling   $6.75       $11.99      77.6%
Chasseur Des Brousses                   $6.87       $12.99      89.1%
(Markup for this list is total markup with 18% JFT)

As you can see, a few cents difference -- with the 30% markup + the bottle fee + "rounding" -- can equal a large amount of change in what the PLCB charges the consumer and what their real total markup is.

And think about it. What this means is that even with a 45% total markup the PLCB can't afford to have as many stores as they did 20 years ago, let alone the 750+ they had in the 1970's.  They can't afford to hire and maintain workers at the highest end of retail and still provide the service they are required to provide. Even with a police-enforced monopoly, their business model doesn't work anywhere near as well as the private sector.


Life in Pennsylvania: where the police will tell you what legal products you can buy and where you can buy them...and if you try to buy them somewhere else...they'll arrest you

WE DESERVE BETTER - PRIVATIZE!


Yes, the picture is fake but the verbiage isn't. Duh. It's what we call a parody, or exaggeration, a photographic catroon. The difference is, unlike everything Wendell W. Young IV says about the PLCB, we admit that it is bullshit.